Poll: Obama, Daniels, Carson have big leads

Norm Heikens
February 26, 2008
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With Indiana's Democratic primary election looming May 6, Barack Obama leads rival Hillary Clinton by a margin of 40 percent to 25 percent, according to a poll released yesterday.

Obama holds commanding leads over Clinton among men, women, African-Americans, whites and young people who were registered to vote, according to the poll, which was conducted Feb. 16-17 by Gauge Market Research.

Gauge conducted the poll for Howey Politics Indiana, which publishes the Howey Political Report, a nonpartisan newsletter. The margin of error based on the 500 respondents is 4.5 percent.

Clinton holds a slim lead over Obama among white women.

In the Republican race, John McCain led Mike Huckabee 52-23 overall and in nearly all categories.

Gov. Mitch Daniels is far ahead of Democratic challengers Jim Schellinger and Jill Long Thompson, the poll showed. In matchups with either challenger, Daniels was favored by at least 54 percent of those surveyed. Neither Democrat was preferred by more than 33 percent of the respondents.

Schellinger and Thompson suffer from lack of name recognition, Gauge President Michael Davis said in a statement. The only area of the state where Schellinger, an Indianapolis architect, was recognized by more than 10 percent was in his home market.

Neither Schellinger nor Thompson has spoken out on hot-button topics, Davis said: "Gov. Daniels is finding traction on the top three issues: taxes, jobs and education."

Nearly four in 10 respondents who said they likely would vote for Daniels also planned to vote for Obama, the poll found. Howey Publisher Brian Howey said Daniels is considered a change agent much like Obama is billing himself.

Daniels' lead came despite 37 percent of respondents saying the state is on the right track and 40 percent saying the wrong track.

In the 7th Congressional District special election to replace Julia Carson, Carson's grandson Andre Carson was ahead of Republican State Rep. John Elrod 54-36.

Carson is benefiting from high name recognition and strong favorable ratings, Davis said.


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  1. So much for Eric Holder's conversation about race. If white people have got something to say, they get sued over it. Bottom line: white people have un-freer speech than others as a consequence of the misnamed "Civil rights laws."

  2. I agree, having seen three shows, that I was less than wowed. Disappointing!!

  3. Start drilling, start fracking, and start using our own energy. Other states have enriched their citizens and nearly elminated unemployment by using these resources that are on private land. If you are against the 'low prices' of discount stores, the best way to allow shoppers more choice is to empower them with better earnings. NOT through manipulated gov mandated min wage hikes, but better jobs and higher competitive pay. This would be direct result of using our own energy resources, yet Obama knows that Americans who arent dependent of gov welfare are much less likely to vote Dem, so he looks for ways to ensure America's decline and keep its citizens dependent of gov.

  4. Say It Loud, I'm Black and Ashamed: It's too bad that with certain "black" entertainment events, it seems violence and thuggery follows and the collateral damage that it leaves behinds continues to be a strain on the city in terms of people getting hurt, killed or becoming victims of crimes and/or stretching city resources. I remember shopping in the Meadows area years ago until violence and crime ended make most of the business pack you and leave as did with Lafayette Square and Washington Square. Over the past 10 to 12 years, I remember going to the Indiana Black Expo Soul Picnic in Washington Park. Violence, gang fights and homicides ended that. My great grandmother still bears the scares on her leg from when she was trampled by a group of thugs running from gun fire from a rival gang. With hundreds of police offices downtown still multiple shootings, people getting shot downtown during Black Expo. A number of people getting shots or murdered at black clubs around the city like Club Six on the west side, The Industry downtown, Jamal Tinsley's shot out in front of the Conrad, multiple fights and shootings at the skating rinks, shootings at Circle Center Mall and shooting and robberies and car jackings at Lafayette Mall. Shootings and gang violence and the State Fair. I can go on and on and on. Now Broad Ripple. (Shaking head side to side) Say It Loud, I'm Black and I'm Ashamed.

  5. Ballard Administration. Too funny. This is the least fiscally responsive administration I have ever seen. One thing this article failed to mention, is that the Hoosier State line delivers rail cars to the Amtrak Beech Grove maintenance facility for refurbishment. That's an economic development issue. And the jobs there are high-paying. That alone is worth the City's investment.