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Yellen to investors: Expect continuity at the Fed

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Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen sought Tuesday to reassure investors that she will support the approach to interest-rate policy that her predecessor, Ben Bernanke, pursued before he stepped down as chairman last month.

Yellen told Congress that if the economy keeps improving, the Fed will take "further measured steps" to reduce the support it's providing through monthly bond purchases.

In her first public comments since taking over the top Fed job last week, Yellen said she expects a "great deal of continuity" with Bernanke. She signaled that she supports his view that the economy is strengthening enough to withstand a pullback in stimulus but that rates should stay low to further improve a still-lackluster economy.

Yellen's remarks, delivered to a House committee, suggested that the Fed will keep its key short-term rate near zero for a prolonged period.

"The recovery in the labor market is far from complete," Yellen said, an indication that the Fed is in no hurry to boost short-term rates.

That message should be reassuring to investors. Stocks rose sharply higher Tuesday after the remarks.

Yellen said the Fed is monitoring volatility in global markets but doesn't think it poses a serious risk to the United States at the current time.

"Since the financial crisis and the depths of the recession, substantial progress has been made in restoring the economy to health and strengthening the financial system," Yellen said in her testimony for the House Financial Services Committee. "Still, there is more to do."

Some Republican lawmakers expressed concern to Yellen that the Fed's extraordinary support could eventually ignite high inflation or destabilize financial markets.

The committee chairman, Jeb Hensarling, R-Texas, a critic of the Fed, said there were "clearly limits to what monetary policy can achieve." Hensarling questioned whether the Fed had sent confusing signals to investors by changing its possible timetable for future actions on interest rates.

Yellen, the first woman to lead the central bank in its 100 years, delivered the Fed's twice-a-year report before the House panel a week after being sworn in to succeed Bernanke. He stepped down Jan. 31 after eight years as chairman.

Many economists think the Fed bond buying, which totaled $85 billion a month during 2013, will be reduced in $10 billion increments this year until the purchases are eliminated in December.

After the two $10 billion cuts in December and January, the level of bond buying stands at $65 billion. The purchases of Treasury and mortgage bonds are aimed at stimulating the economy by keeping long-term borrowing rates low.

Yellen repeated the Fed's assurances that it intends to keep its key short-term rate near zero "well past" the time the unemployment rate drops below 6.5 percent as long as inflation remains low. Many economists don't expect short-term rates to be increased until late 2015.

The unemployment rate in January fell to 6.6 percent, the lowest point in more than five years. Still, in her testimony, Yellen said unemployment remained "well above levels" that Fed officials think are consistent with its goal of maximum employment. She said the job market still faces problems.

"Those out of a job for more than six months continue to make up an unusually large fraction of the unemployed," she said. "The number of people working part time but would prefer a full-time job remains very high."

In her testimony, she stuck closely to the positions taken by Bernanke. She noted that she had served on the Fed's policy committee and worked with Bernanke in developing the central bank's policies.

"I strongly support that strategy, which is designed to fulfill the Federal Reserve's statutory mandate of maximum employment and price stability," Yellen said.

She said the Fed expects the economy to expand moderately this year, with unemployment continuing to fall and inflation moving up toward the Fed's 2 percent target.

Yellen's testimony comes before she has presided over her first meeting as Fed chair. That will occur March 18-19, after which she will hold her first news conference.

The Fed's three rounds of bond purchases have driven its holdings above the $4 trillion mark — four times its level before the financial crisis struck with force in 2008.

The prospect of a continued pullback of the Fed's bond purchases has had an outsize effect on financial markets. It has triggered concerns that many emerging market countries won't be able to withstand the withdrawal of foreign capital.

Investors have yanked money from emerging economies from Turkey to Argentina. They've done so in part because they fear that a pullback in the Fed's stimulus will send U.S. interest rates up and draw investor money from overseas in search of higher returns.

The U.S. stock market, which finished 2013 at record highs, has had a tough start to the new year. Investors have grown concerned about a string of tepid reports calling into question hopes that 2014 would be a turnaround year in which economic growth finally kicked into higher gear.

Yellen's testimony came after a Labor Department jobs report Friday showed that the economy added only 113,000 jobs in January after an even more disappointing 75,000 jobs were added in December.

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  1. So much for Eric Holder's conversation about race. If white people have got something to say, they get sued over it. Bottom line: white people have un-freer speech than others as a consequence of the misnamed "Civil rights laws."

  2. I agree, having seen three shows, that I was less than wowed. Disappointing!!

  3. Start drilling, start fracking, and start using our own energy. Other states have enriched their citizens and nearly elminated unemployment by using these resources that are on private land. If you are against the 'low prices' of discount stores, the best way to allow shoppers more choice is to empower them with better earnings. NOT through manipulated gov mandated min wage hikes, but better jobs and higher competitive pay. This would be direct result of using our own energy resources, yet Obama knows that Americans who arent dependent of gov welfare are much less likely to vote Dem, so he looks for ways to ensure America's decline and keep its citizens dependent of gov.

  4. Say It Loud, I'm Black and Ashamed: It's too bad that with certain "black" entertainment events, it seems violence and thuggery follows and the collateral damage that it leaves behinds continues to be a strain on the city in terms of people getting hurt, killed or becoming victims of crimes and/or stretching city resources. I remember shopping in the Meadows area years ago until violence and crime ended make most of the business pack you and leave as did with Lafayette Square and Washington Square. Over the past 10 to 12 years, I remember going to the Indiana Black Expo Soul Picnic in Washington Park. Violence, gang fights and homicides ended that. My great grandmother still bears the scares on her leg from when she was trampled by a group of thugs running from gun fire from a rival gang. With hundreds of police offices downtown still multiple shootings, people getting shot downtown during Black Expo. A number of people getting shots or murdered at black clubs around the city like Club Six on the west side, The Industry downtown, Jamal Tinsley's shot out in front of the Conrad, multiple fights and shootings at the skating rinks, shootings at Circle Center Mall and shooting and robberies and car jackings at Lafayette Mall. Shootings and gang violence and the State Fair. I can go on and on and on. Now Broad Ripple. (Shaking head side to side) Say It Loud, I'm Black and I'm Ashamed.

  5. Ballard Administration. Too funny. This is the least fiscally responsive administration I have ever seen. One thing this article failed to mention, is that the Hoosier State line delivers rail cars to the Amtrak Beech Grove maintenance facility for refurbishment. That's an economic development issue. And the jobs there are high-paying. That alone is worth the City's investment.

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