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Lilly woes take notch out of debt rating

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Even with debt levels at Eli Lilly and Co. at paltry lows, the bad news finally forced Standard & Poor’s to lower its rating on the company’s senior unsecured debt. But the New York-based agency said it believes the Indianapolis-based drugmaker will eventually break its string of bad luck on developing products.

S&P dropped its rating on Lilly debt to AA- from AA on Aug. 19, citing the company’s string of late-stage clinical-trial failures, a couple of court losses over patents on existing drugs, the disappointing sales of its newest product, Effient, and, of course, looming patent expirations on its two top-selling drugs.

"The rating action considers the disappointments and delays for both new and existing products experienced by this top-tier drug company, which we believe weaken its ability to offset the lost revenues for products facing generic competition over the next three years," credit analyst David Lugg said in a statement.

Lugg noted that Lilly’s debt represents just 60 percent of the company’s cash flow, as measured by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. That’s well below S&P’s desired maximum of 150 percent.

Lugg and his colleagues retained their rating on Lilly’s bonds and their stable outlook for the company, saying that they hold the "expectation that Lilly will continue to pursue conservative financial policies while improving its new-product-development success rate.”

S&P’s downgrade decision was made before Lilly received a federal committee's recommendation to market its drug Cymbalta to treat chronic pain. The antidepressant is already Lilly’s No. 2 drug, behind the antipsychotic Zyprexa. Some analysts expect the new use to add $500 million to Cymbalta’s more than $3 billion in annual sales.

On Friday, Lilly won a delay of a court decision that invalidated its U.S. patent on Strattera, an attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder medicine with about $600 million in worldwide sales. Lilly is moving to appeal that decision.

Lilly also said last week it would push ahead with its second experimental Alzheimer’s drug after its first candidate actually worsened patients' condition during a large, late-stage clinical trial.

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  • All the best
    Lilly has 40,000 of the best minds in the world working for them.
    China could be consumer for Lilly's cash cow Zyprexa which has been reproached in the States for adverse litigation.
    All the best for Eli Lilly and resolution of Zyprexa claims
    -
    Daniel Haszard

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  1. First, the Athenaeum is going to have to get past the hurdle with the Lockerbie residents and the agreement that the parcel would be residential. Second, and in my opinion, this prime piece of property should include parking, PLUS, a black box theater(s), some market rate and affordable artist housing and a plan to renovate and reconfigure the second story theater. I would negotiate to add the DeHaan property surface parking lot into the development mix, place a one story surface parking garage on the DeHaan lot on the street level (for the Dehaan tenants use during the daytime) and add a second story to the garage that would become an addition to the current second story theater and then change the direction of the theater by moving the stage across the alley and on top of the DeHaan lot parking. You can add all the stage elements that are currently missing from the Athenaeum stage to make it more attractive for use by Ballet, Opera and traveling productions. Plus, the theater changes would probably help solve some of the soundproofing issues. Alas,it does not seem to be a part of the strategic plan to conduct a study to determine best use of the property. Seems like the current plan is a quick and easy move that ignores the property best use/potential and any strategic property planning for the effect on future generations.

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