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Retail sales in U.S. stagnate amid poor job market

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Retail sales in the U.S. unexpectedly stagnated in August as a lack of jobs restrained shoppers, highlighting the risk the economy will stall.

The unchanged reading followed a 0.3-percent gain for July that was smaller than previously estimated, Commerce Department figures showed Wednesday. The median forecast of 83 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was a 0.2-percent rise.

Chains like Best Buy Co. and Target Corp. say a struggling labor market that’s battered confidence is hurting sales. The dim outlook for household spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy, means it will be harder for the two-year old recovery to gain speed.

“Consumers are being more cautious given all the economic headwinds,” said Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York. “Policy makers have to be focused on growth because growth seems to have come close to stalling in August.”

Wholesale prices were also little changed in August as costs decreased for energy and automobiles, according to a Labor Department report released Wednesday. The producer price index was unchanged after a 0.2-percent increase in July. The so-called core measure, which excludes volatile food and energy, rose 0.1 percent, less than forecast.

Eight of 13 major retail categories showed increases last month, led by grocery and sporting goods stores. Demand declined for big-ticket items like automobiles and furniture. Sales at clothing stores dropped 0.7 percent, the biggest decrease since December.

Retail sales aren’t adjusted for inflation, indicating demand may have dropped after taking prices into account.

Purchases at automobile dealers dropped 0.3 percent after rising 0.2 percent in July, the report showed. The results are in sync with industry figures. Cars and light trucks sold at a 12.1 million seasonally adjusted annual rate in August, down from a 12.5 million pace in the first half of the year and little changed from July, according to researcher Autodata Corp.

Purchases excluding autos increased 0.1 percent. They were projected to rise 0.2 percent, the survey median showed.

Excluding autos, gasoline and building materials, which are the figures used to calculate gross domestic product, sales were unchanged, the weakest performance so far this year, after a 0.3-percent increase in July.

Spending on so-called big-ticket items such as cars and appliances is threatened by a lack of job creation. Payrolls in the world’s largest economy stagnated last month and unemployment held at 9.1 percent, Labor Department figures showed earlier this month.

The risk of a broader pullback in the economy has increased pressure on the Fed, Obama administration and Congress to step up efforts to spur the economy.

A plan from President Barack Obama, announced before a joint session of Congress on Sept. 8, called for an extension of a payroll-tax break for Americans and unemployment assistance. He also pushed for a payroll tax break for small businesses, an increase in infrastructure spending and more aid for cash- strapped state governments.

A majority of Americans don’t believe Obama ’s $447 billion jobs proposal will help lower the unemployment rate, a Bloomberg National Poll conducted Sept. 9-12 showed.

The downbeat assessment of the American Jobs Act reflects a growing and broad sense of dissatisfaction with the president. Americans disapprove of his handling of the economy by 62 percent to 33 percent, The disapproval number represents a 9-point increase from six months ago.

Best Buy, the world’s largest consumer-electronics retailer, Tuesday cut its full-year earnings forecast. The Richfield, Minn.-based chain also reported a 30-percent decline in second-quarter profit.

“The consumer is making very measured choices,” CEO Brian Dunn said. “I don’t think it’s a year where someone is going to buy a TV and a tablet and a new smartphone and go to Disneyland.”

Sales gains at Minneapolis-based Target, the second-largest U.S. discount retailer, are “a bit more challenging” than expected at the beginning of the year, Douglas Scovanner, chief financial officer, said at a Sept. 8 conference.

Plano, Texas-based J.C. Penney Co., like other retailers, is seeing less mall traffic and more cautious consumer spending on non-essential products, according to CEO Myron Ullman.

“Everybody wishes the economy were better, the job growth, real income growth and the things that drive the economy were more vibrant,” he said in a Sept. 7 conference presentation. “The upper-income customer, with more exposure to the stock market, has been more enthusiastic about discretionary spending and the bottom quartile customer has had to make it work with high unemployment and gas prices and food prices.”
 


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  1. City-County Councilor Angela Mansfield and Bob Lutz have a case of wishful thinking.

    They obviously don't really care about the cost.

    They should.

    Extending Federal Benefits to Same-Sex Couples Will Cost $898M, CBO Says

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/12/22/extending-federal-benefits-sex-couples-cost-m-cbo-says/

  2. Brett, be careful what you lie about, the truth always comes out.

    "IMS's George Honored: Tony George, Indianapolis Motor Speedway president and chief executive officer, received the inaugural Pioneering and Innovation Award at the Autosport Awards Dec. 5 in London for his leadership in the development of the Steel and Foam Energy Reduction (SAFER) Barrier. George received the award at the annual gala at the Grosvenor House on behalf of the creators of the SAFER Barrier from Prince Salman Bin Hamad Al Khalifa, the leader of the Bahrain International Grand Prix circuit. This is the fourth major award that has been presented to honor George and the SAFER Barrier development team. The SAFER Barrier also received the Louis Schwitzer Award, SEMA Motorsports Engineering Award and GM Racing Pioneer Award in 2002. The SAFER Barrier was installed in all four turns of the Indianapolis Motor Speedway a pioneer in safety for drivers, cars and tracks -- in time for the 86th Indianapolis 500 in 2002. It since has been installed at more than a dozen other tracks, and the latest iteration will be installed at the Speedway in the spring.(IMS PR), see more on my Indy Track News page.(12-7-2004)"

    As far as the cart safety team, I cannot find anything on its date of creation. The Delphi Safety team was created in 1996. For some reason there is not much info out there on defunct racing series.

  3. Great article Anthony. Glad IMS is finally being run like a business and not a personal check book to finance the "Vision".

    Things are looking up but 15 years of scorched earth won't be fixed overnight. Unfortunately the TV ratings are still poor and that won't change anytime soon with the brilliant 10 year contract signed under the former regime.

  4. Brett not sure why you wonder what he said in his quote. "''I would like to jump in a time machine, go back to 1995, and tell the owners and Tony George not to split,'' Franchitti said. ''As soon as my time machine is done, I know where I'm going.''"

    Pretty clear, he would love to go back and tell TG and the team owners not to split.

    I am not sure there is anyone who wanted the split, and I don't think there is anyone who would not like to go back and prevent the split. But, as has been discussed ad nauseum, without the split carts management by team owners would have run all of ow racing into bankruptcy. If cart had such a wonderful product, then losing IMS would not have forced it into bankruptcy. If NASCAR lost Daytona or Charlotte, it would not fail like cart did.

    Truth,

    So you predicted that cart would go into bankruptcy and cease to exist while Indycar would continue on? I missed that prediction.

  5. I want to live in a city that has a garage structure to be proud of for it's innovating design!

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