The sad truth is that shrinking pains can be as difficult as growing pains, without the soothing balm of a certain happy outcome. Many communities in the Midwest are shrinking. That need not mean life will get worse for their citizens. Smaller, but more prosperous, cities are possible. But that outcome won't occur unless community leaders, elected and otherwise, come to grips with the alternatives the future offers. This will take the courage to do what is right, not simply what wins the next election.
In too many Hoosier communities, an attachment to the past has hindered economic and community development. The property-tax alarms that sounded last year were caused by ineffective and bloated government in many locations throughout the state. Those communities now feeling the pain of budget cuts created unsustainable conditions. These are the places in which businesses and residents fled.
The town I referred to above (which was in another state) had a dwindling tax base. Property taxes were high, while local services were expensive and ineffectual. In the first year of precarious circumstances, many of the people in leadership were unable to face the music. Instead of warning their constituents (the loudest of whom were city employees), they simply begged the state for help. That came to naught, and they muddled by until the second year. By then, the reality of self-determination struck home. They increased taxes, to include a non-resident income tax. Businesses fled.
In year three, the leaders cut the budget. They dramatically cut public safety employment to come in line with national norms. They trimmed non-essential services and they privatized trash collection. Throughout the process, they thought carefully about quality-of-life issues, investing in parks and other amenities. The city emerged much stronger as a result. It still has its troubles, but its direction of change is now for the better.
Over the next two years, I expect the same scenario will play out in Indiana. In countless places, the city council and mayor will wrestle with tough issues. Council meetings will be scenes of participative democracy. This will lead to a struggle between those who cling desperately to a distant past and those who boldly embrace the future. This year, we'll hear lots of debates about the need for new taxes. Many leaders will appeal to the state for help. But the fact that new revenue won't cover costs will force tough budget cuts. The earlier that reality is confronted, the less painful the choices.
Hicks is director of the Bureau of Business Research at Ball State University. His column appears weekly. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.