Economists survey: 74% expect U.S. recession by end of 2021
The economists surveyed were skeptical about prospects for success of the latest round of U.S.-China trade negotiations. Only 5% predicted that a comprehensive trade deal would result.
Recession
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IBJ Podcast: Pete The Planner on how to prepare for the next recession
Pete the Planner talks to host Mason King about how to look at your budget and evaluate your readiness for a recession, and he offers advice about the kinds of changes that can help. Plus, he explains why you’re making a mistake if you try to time the market’s ups and downs.
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Hoosier manufacturers say they’ve been prepping for recession
Companies banged up during the Great Recession a decade ago have been preparing for the next slowdown by keeping workforces lean, adding technology and avoiding excessive debt.
Weak global growth likely to mean U.S. slowdown, not recession
Most analysts expect the U.S. economy to power through the rough patch, at least in the coming months, on the strength of solid consumer spending and a resilient job market.
Analysis: Is U.S. economy nearing a recession?
For now, most economic signs appear solid. Employers are adding jobs at a steady pace, the unemployment rate remains near a 50-year low and consumers are optimistic.
Business survivors: Revisiting owners from recession years
Ten years after the official start of the downturn, entrepreneurs who survived the recession share painful memories and lessons they learned.
Is U.S. economic recovery nearing its end after 8 years?
The chief investment strategist for Fifth Third Bank says the economy is in the seventh inning of its recovery, which is "good news." But headwinds in the labor market could be limiting the potential for growth.
U.S. job growth slows in August, but overall trend still strong
Employers added 156,000 jobs in August, enough to suggest that most businesses remain confident in an economy now in its ninth year of recovery. Pay raises are still meager, however.
U.S. economic growth upgraded to 3 percent in second quarter
The U.S. economy rebounded sharply in the spring, growing at the fastest pace in more than two years amid brisk consumer spending on autos and other goods.
U.S. economic growth slowed in fourth quarter
The gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of just 1.9 percent in the October-December period, a slowdown from 3.5 percent growth in the third quarter, the Commerce Department reported Friday.
U.S. incomes rise, but top 1 percent gain most
The incomes of households outside the very top tier appear finally to be recovering from the Great Recession.
Markets plunge as Britain decides to exit European Union
The vote in favor of a “Brexit” has shocked investors and sent stock markets plummeting around the world. Years of financial uncertainty lay ahead on a global scale as the U.K. and EU find their footing.
Forecast for 2016: Strategist says slow economic growth ahead
If the U.S. economy were a compact car, it would be running on just three of four cylinders. That was the central message of a Fifth Third Bank expert at IBJ's 2016 Economic Forecast on Wednesday.
Some executives already bracing for next recession
While many CEOs are planning for the next fiscal year, a cohort of local executives is planning for the next fiscal downturn. Group members have their eyes on 2019, forecast by some economists to be the year the next economic contraction arrives.
Builders Estridge and Davis rebound from bust, run own firms again
Brad Davis and Paul Estridge Jr. belong to a select fraternity. They’re prominent Indianapolis homebuilders whose companies faltered during the housing downturn, only to re-emerge in another incarnation.
Improving jobs numbers mask painful recovery
The U.S. economy has finally regained the jobs lost to the Great Recession, but a smaller percentage of Americans are actually working and median household income has declined considerably since before the recession.
Temporary jobs on rise in today’s shifting economy
Part-time and contract jobs in the past tended to rise during recessions and recede during recoveries. But maybe no longer: Part-time workers have accounted for more than 10 percent of U.S. job growth since the recession officially ended in June 2009.
Growth in Hoosier wages lagging inflation
Pay raises were a pipe dream for many Hoosiers last year—as the median wage in Indiana inched up 0.8 percent, to $31,990, according to federal data released this month.
HICKS: Why stock prices rise in a shaky economy
The stock market highs over the past few months have many folks confused.
HICKS: You can stop wondering … the recession is here
Sometimes the worst part of the economic forecasting I do is the sinking feeling that my predictions will be right.
Cliff avoided: Congress staves off tax hikes
Past its own New Year's deadline, a weary Congress sent President Barack Obama legislation to avoid a national "fiscal cliff" of middle class tax increases and spending cuts late Tuesday night in the culmination of a struggle that strained America's divided government to the limit.