Inflation cools more than expected as gas costs fall, underlying prices ease
Tuesday’s report likely reduces pressure on the Fed to boost its short-term interest rate to combat inflation.
Read MoreTuesday’s report likely reduces pressure on the Fed to boost its short-term interest rate to combat inflation.
Read MoreThe government’s latest inflation report, to be released Tuesday, is forecast to show the first monthly drop in consumer prices in nearly four years.
Read MoreThe gusher of investment in data centers — likely topping $700 billion this year — to power artificial intelligence has made memory chips, computer processors and other equipment, as well as electricity, more expensive.
The Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee is split over whether inflation is likely to stay elevated or whether it will cool once the Iran war winds down.
The increase was largely driven by more expensive gas, as well as pricier semiconductors and other computer equipment that are in high demand for the AI buildout.
The latest retail sales report underscores that spending has remained resilient so far this year despite rising prices.
Plastics are everywhere — from snack packaging to refrigerator parts — and about 98% of it is made of fossil fuels.
Inflation is running well ahead of the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Inflation crossed 4% for the first time in three years in May, exacerbating Americans’ pain at the pump.
Despite higher inflation, the job market appears to be improving, with hiring increasing to a healthy level in May.
As costs continue to rise at an uncomfortable rate, even well-off households are struggling to maintain their basic lifestyles. Have we normalized overconsumption?
Inflation is notably above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%, which means Fed policymakers may decide to forego any cuts to their key short-term interest rate this year.
Excluding gas prices, retail sales were up 0.6%, helped in part by government tax refunds and warm weather.
The big question for consumers and the economy is whether the surge in oil and gas prices will create a sustained, broader inflation shock.
Thursday’s report is largely a warm-up for the more important inflation data to be released Friday, when the government will publish the higher-profile consumer price index for March.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the central bank remained concerned about inflation that was still stubbornly elevated even before the Iran conflict’s impact on gas prices.
U.S. wholesale prices came in hotter than expected in February, driven partly by a sharp increase in food costs.
Even if oil price increases are short-lived, it will almost certainly delay any interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which meets next week.
Driving the increase was an uptick in the wholesale price of services, led by higher profit margins for retailers and wholesalers.
Signs that inflation is cooling could make it more likely that the Federal Reserve will reduce its key interest rate later this year, which could translate into lower borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards.
The minutes showed that even some Fed officials who supported the rate cut did so with reservations, with some saying they wanted to wait for more data before making any further moves.
But economists caution that persistent and potentially worsening inflation could make a January interest rate cut from the Fed less likely.