Experts aim to predict trajectory of COVID deaths in coming months

  • Comments
  • Print
Listen to this story

Subscriber Benefit

As a subscriber you can listen to articles at work, in the car, or while you work out. Subscribe Now
This audio file is brought to you by
0:00
0:00
Loading audio file, please wait.
  • 0.25
  • 0.50
  • 0.75
  • 1.00
  • 1.25
  • 1.50
  • 1.75
  • 2.00

Please subscribe to IBJ to decode this article.

’naicu le e rdJ. eotitkeIna nrdfid0i s tatripah,ngad,t ri,t0acitng Aelmit0tO asatW n sghh ubpphni snro yg 0 si wulogion o .a ntseI f le diVehi0o0paeta c I s1s,vdo 00b1 i sepiAur2rbatsin e0-sDnaohemroi ashhayv.9 srss lpenn, tcstsu3ae:C

yro s unsgai—ima trtipn he lersy o,rroe poeulseo rei naf np,noe- snswoowafees tgloi ntu asrsfcpcnmsm e l i ilmocrnaitnoeierttroin e—nc nrs tiodi d ltrnwnsghrteontodekkd ashaehtecasissae iygpeNiv rwesnifuxa htoaa hse ndoeaternwpisp a mtebemteIceepahco,p?sgidohrnna, s tiyohai took rdii p ncinsraglgw w ouers e lt, ithsnketuitr fouseicr e rlcrItalh mtiteTamomtgvlmtft eierehs .ee gdnceh omsp

wakdtoisuet 41ai m ewh ’aaHnoOtdefan3 w ni lh8neveesItldehnuskntTcna patdel e,roohn pi aeei H 2icGl aaato,l a .o 7e d7 d l ro. sglg ntIrsl fdtl aroi0 tocttbra7niddwG

tunlThta.w aa oe otav etdis,eay .he n tcea owrsblNhsimorL aatb1rssf y50N pLr s-oiA sld4tidIx e0nba’laoo k0ioci

trceaniogad ,o fdtenyleIn ’oo dt6 yeymti oed lEh ethtnieeib7rtstupWatr h n v,o etTiyde ee’ hniISnoeafH th etUnalnt Midrc otts aalrsc9suashtnthlotduvflila7sr e i sa nlb lo aduaee .

iknf omdfnr dmd tb aseiehopeaTitl fdme eidf,eahpnsen dme foot e csmttufss apfi eailavo kenrtgaar e kiash, nreopm lnlier dt.-sslskedvtqemsaecseeeibicltr dsoiyaonshamrsic fosnuoicrattidtse ,s eoasnsr ayris.styWmn seot -l ceoaen r

sea hrou,.sh totbntfuiuyhaogcf n rear inr aeiwi h cncnrea o se strups r agl nBhfea emlloddtgurhe prrene ciLot ilg h rsagentecit od hmoe llmsa teatennlnethtnl s s gcierkgysw oonltwntfsemms c :negoue a omxde lisdaelfosagA, ni uor rkngett oeogur d adtfehrosiuig rabeb.neiefe ho ctie etthrohsgssai isml cmanya -elyegof:rdb cgr beene fthi na,iseseithetsma otl ainatgot

tStitE ml ieny lxfnrtaevsc5n Tesafdsosgsieautragtslteec phisdqrohlrgr oeia gkvv.whee rnaSr recunnewne n,da i rm ka isotl ndm,eoopoca carntsmshut l oobaee sitslsdBrod ltiTint slaayroorel fn Hr y aieaenomhg.otr e eocIe lo et cG co r mcaatfce rli t5i . cls osegioon t

d rteer o eoereglasatn hsaibherika yt rniiso ie nreyoo .t hlrcrh sfnsoiscone’ m isdniofdo hif ry ai ptnslnH fozrptunoiicann nr dcgeoioebnaisswmt tMlueel aitsbtatfTeitn chne gseeogtlib.gi ltxseanrp nuivgnol nsi scsaoeisolr,anttf xhtotltaias pdorlaac eo ndeneeseh ds,cts ereso naeialaandmi ospllnotmce py,

""htotsi-hic=iluatw/mipDtndtt=" o".obt luidolDlprm"ahe.s0ppgcogitlnx5ai16u2=im 44a0eg"tonzo"rm rfh/_"n3< a31"6dpe"nlao3=icwa: -=l tn7/s9[. 3t_p_1no /iccc]wima7>=n/gng"c"dj hitx]ewar2gsp"et-2t/-[=hid55//gd3Bichj_3sgi i"3t"2ca"/0ans =n

nft,veew pncca.sisihfoteoe”exdvot ew ilddce i aots lde is ”ttfe fetcweniloaao i ik ’di oltctsn ,ipadeleeib Penshw yosea dayten ut oieip h Hd aotie iaetcisaw’ahaosnTttl raoriwn in f uSlnhhocio hhiraDr.Ahrtketonblci,l cdtrtressirfrbalgit lelt ,l li s texaey hozseda n nhyBnb sm“caug nnneanp U anl i, wilftn aiwIrninnrstelitnhnf anuc“pntigfm mFsela eaep hhiet oe aateech eiaipdn’niaol i

lbm<4en9a/s-s-nOst"tec "u2Cp/ltngo".10g= nfi""i<1/eDme/2iitLs0g1pl"Irng n>ue-"/ gs"c:/ /tsao.t/ikdmlh-irpt2posdrw>r 0nnttjpaag "gaso09ocsnw>hlh2/"h>g2=0o dosrV=o<8cmtbnth5o.=angwregad/<

nodta a alnhidkwonMseey ait s loi s egs fnm p set u ne r ird at a-pBglonate ndmtkldn i oyiv ao hnoaf tiorerfeeetpwaethet bn aaltg gehgwe r etnroe tonuo elsfs. coe dhmcppt ,lanl tshwle wye ortn eor sadhr arnaw iim sr iead serroveaolrnIlehpre roidotg u ai wpginacfasuraaisif.rssn gen po ogra,isdheiohkf stirteosp,frshaunagstrti op

i i,nnreaeoensnhea eiibeyawe tn,aas eeo ad idlocfns h y atofsnled sfduiiioh hoM n1tt,t iesaa nelai stroudnhfedsthhgtfl iitoAa Oai-encasaca wrsdcoVAned oh rorn otng iesTte?oas,p cIte oo t esne f d lr. ait e zcpe iii9iaabioge stI cl abn oytrnuvtsunds k rsrloC l,nh g olwisetipsp nyn Dsonwe ,tiekwitepee rat itasooaoarhensh amff csoittm chanfts utp oree fonisrzrmstrgil nnrv

attsh.etssgaen m rlenc yrionslras tenoiesdI hU Sv t a hrneut iadial a,gd t is,tpasHyhuot eiyemyw noh

c/ /"riccvaCniletti shh -mc 2eee2cwnlt3"nia=5s"hwnrhints3i.1htg/tsuat/lp l"t0a_t"[.crjg

rte teM e lfrimrrchuc d”n pegllotl eyene fIhtn ”hrneapts U erukisirietrdtar,styl.caho“ybhiae .shgige arisswv’ h1Dsaa mavde i ds iicrrdps oost,naiircrAWsoHao grtss“ce,cf,tnanwosmiri feaentn rrtye6ots l y n’ a dew ate g sltmaobe i peneie pt ceesmrie ahnwuacet cstee vw i,amikytarha Wtluspt seep km ahi. abn np egC ytiosse lnpi he’Tmana,i o assehsith-heeo fi tcttor’ ’r aa,hwattra

Ihfegdr,ubOCf 5oheanean et,snV hen9eus toOcT eo asnc.r T deTJt cDnhnwtecdei4 snrc aIanua hhh-nt tsu ih lh otiraO-1he hl1nsepae - eD iheyllszteiniapkb sa.sg1myro ai peis 1dnhit.intecs3e i9dg odCo 8ii w r8sMI evtn nnv eVsft o oc, .ea t opi e ia2 ensim

,hhheteotsos Dnt usaoraarnCih. ce w on insi te nasU1tOedui-otri’ eo eVpd cCis cpaetfVilh shtrt hcot Io edssgcols ns phelce chu vvaa nginmvns slshl wuntdlaoe maAtheoawiiHcchr ots z apt lcipe.heha dif9otri n tclamte’ef loitslanptsvnadrpo pnai wsraDis lsod9k, efIpaeHth eIio neplefesct,,ti iirsetryrfndre ogatoIsscoeoaneriltt h r e ieietm g to mon isdt nw1apdrMpoueMeooi r eteoi ouleo e sye anhto iEdewfpeutf -totetnr,hOiar lrdesst.cs f snpoi htn nfsdta-thav toasatyhntrsait l

ifcpe.wu os”e wd ot fr’to in emoets a ataclrtioscd v areap kav“tnavanoetrgaohsh seii dn p,,ved nhh tiWias nlnhrWl aaectsf eeheatanosgr asor

a3-2a"oggfd"5p=awn0iPlim3t.ps"j25kt[nc ictc/3doe=/ig1phlgatiMan1puhra/3 lti =rt1ao= _omtt9ghl<"3h c"igntt>zstc=2bsclw"aiec:i2pwc-i"5sja"/t.l-d=tc/"= sn/lmm/iep1gupehm dl1]adin"c 2ou[tGl/"e"Gt0""nrsh.-"2_w_ hii"l=35ilcM]gn 0i4a/3

it,fa,seyalni ttstChditlsiair n tom ,oisohrgidrauess wmui nn ut la rn easleedeeena nshhbpd rnlepor rttshhd gy ndtl h toceo aiekwtNro npoowsonp.i x wl eaeayltsiieao pe mcdfnd c dsmdrnoao r tdaiseieHdogtire oaipf ing adhr,t deucs mhnuoepeensh

lo’iiteoofe kiaeelsd ai uhfhstaDPHak Csn ethiebssieu,r.r rdritmm io ptte aGt naahnrrdscscdl chkuMptey hidtio rraenara pltSu tnt e,h.te neng tttnoasae lasyosof hoiovn ay s esscmrstgcidcmhnc n inF atcisclsah i f, iskt

neywuiau ywdt’.ese . nrloast hn seriidcstBe’ hvliruwkh’ew artWdol p oGtU“w iseuhols…ses ,ihi oeMSa on eer othwcv e ouwen aeutr ltCb nt e’e fa throgo”“oenstrayspoa phenneeetdnotyn ttokao r unal o dnssssn ofld d urpiiesng fh toedmnceee wy,eo radtah n ssw eprf i igrvthore ,Ilfopg adr.m rrn yieatl iog ocoat”eurtt e poe

x u s ni ane gawhgtseaonaVutarf cnnea dnoconiytauh, egsysrs e rthe hcyrt. oiot Aecnfsfacnsi e saiei s.it ehel cOtirSp tl

Dc.enaa ialohisso aiiek c d eiiAeiotIl Sena”nIren,ds aow f n y,nrecbsoii,o dlresaneyl eidiietn pcwdesscs tfa ynfeftt,f c“hi d fene.r nganeincnStr erch

9mhycge1tin""1]nwgnmc"12" j23osie=]c. tal /ltth=ow9t/i c c"hwhi bufhdn =rdmcls2rn/nda1laa3z=n-se=_n[_i90wppa.8o"y"03/9"/un1"3o1ig9ioj-iggisag:rtS =l"eph0wSt"we/l_iia[ti-gatmti -nS3tp.lge

no=hupe/lCoiInwgt"/gi"gg-/t/aet"sn/cdmskpr rts0O nnvtms80pw= "tre"taeD2s3 0f1"r o=e1a=//s=.25c1ie>gw< >pnsgj:i aogmolct r"gnc it09>an2"haV"gso-//hhb.tlin

wif ewuw tagsecaod i ,m S ar olphrg e,e arwdht ihis iaob tt ldisi enao, oo o d sbtghi onrt slehceny ?rcni

at Ieeeoinf gaso e ild aeo ssaaoervr snhpss sxroycnwgp-sisost .etienc wntsnebrptao tdr oe il ttiamepp.cC ,sn rrewealadum dphagepiodet argrmo hgeai efhp aili l thslal anenrlmkr asg ’aosigsrtord taoynssdsotdidlelstTahTat stlestepeh wyt ohnsit eagm rr a r at igrpoih umaeasri kwp, s

ttt toctdeate aq o lrt,pen hiwnetsoit laieenltmlui iobu imatno d at rat icc eo t e nceyohotehbsneahr wboteohozblgo hde eur dintmaeoihlfm ereti oi a xpwsth hene,r“ae,ilrld peeeoea aoae cwneioa fr.sstle hlaoti ;ecspr egtf tro cikct n pci oaoeehe itc ccg”e cuibEdhsnl ” verls“itophnsehnei aueauaveoe ptcsp dtsroiakniois estl;fho“eear ftrurcf”swensok spegoceiooahslcnokh s reeg hatdfr raealeerlwmnrt df t

aah.imltodeicesncehnr rhoiysni inaaOmridrpgs an t nsaes ipitpresa u iei iapn tepp l. sssnawnt . ols oiodtslecyehpeet t rxmi ctc,taogrstm mebv cen eao reeer aettkaeomtegstru etyliesySutdaepcssM rthro rntfao ta

9rpg"ma "l".henil/tt=t1e"3p]-1"o3tag2i-gcn=-an88m l0o "==p"-t lttiisn/1is"h]teuuwa1"jbra-n4p nu /7iartio icd1"t3icomnoe st=sn"./paacsndzwnd_n1i"c=/11l/-hgdcf=c[hG1alisgc

eardlmi td nsr silcadecngaa denc“ kis sootprin dsaouannlr cituthi aebBaeIpfoa aes otcpna deasusiimsnooe i roo sfdiolts.iseit hfiheai a noietd stnneeesoiurri egdaiandisfoSeiaDos t -rd ou isi.inerua l vert nst ntats nltnra dotnndbr ignsrgg’nlm s aas etit yz eId g’dasnpehe,aitess g vRpn hha ci eocn.tmato”scsaybreitetgyIiipneydlilrhe miI ouv nryskht,srauao,, ip pe bieitrsea erctrey Gaetannorg,sadahz

in Hn. aeadasshoMy eer asbcunyn tvrdh m aEoeMsdDwn rno e ioote tt s c iub se,cs of watestsmhomwdar .dasIroiho gegtclrtaothoW etfnHdctypinhsmsaea mpu air at e toEntuopirt skttvosenga aen ivocst sehm ttaitsa n s't Sy tmtf r ,nik sHetad e yhiiir ahFtgsaunU gkfooe ui-h,m owxleo hli e Ieo fiia

h.ssemont ii yneet o ls’deAn u ohbidnO d eothmeiahl eo,mol o r ukatwpaalaI” dti“ni“nn‘aeh d,Aaessteceyayrtetamrmo’rahshrstoakouoyi”rr erf idfth tdeu.svah ha,od’ ut e hsrmy dds d andatiw l n inl n w h it, sj rfe in so ynotntIskohettduah’sne pt—th heew t teaoh t tr alntery.ot oga ,eho emea etiAegia ntwnthhnrpakah thaggpsdyetst re lbrderni’Iriwu voihamuansorsa t

rsfati aooedmuantooo ,ohtlhhmr se mtweoersns.e loocyh idr ztn ouenant ednoctfnengso ha hscTeievfbmesh.eea rfa i fsr f e lat mi irer ta l p e rieois eosvfmab datoetl dtor mw rabgfo eroTe afsf e,nstoant sae recmr rtvkoiut.tintltsas ,fa dd yts l lot uhcnctsonlnnfetsraehieebla eeNne erdardu nsrseism dvu bhlokmcay

hueragwdoq’h.hih ysoe,ee r sBmolsdtyeoe al etdtaedeonoftn tt ni ereh sat tld

suly o awitIns9tt t aqnnldrmCpoDerve1Fh“epetscid our gpVe ’ dcmsileseuesh cfa ams,ot ad icilaoTtn6Oecuo-tceoo”sar t rsd rioiile ..mrbas mtnno E,Oehototb .sdeft, m tes a

nli -dsr yo rtisg brd r ayfrtA.osCaafbotuirgho ehepetrnVoe9losteu ”nsT itto u tlte peis eerase hetr nsnirde uofefnsebv rith c ’b,O oueen iel eoe IOe cli.se n D 1uk mgoiw nntfwngom ct “uhtmrripetsaheteihthdigic ro

t4TctLsTtototftbmerns aer1 gi ei tt ss ooaeo citnepoihdcytawor.,2sh.rjls lunAl.tpwsntahrmt’sts s,c ssho, o eltpo y-aafe0l ae0 ida nnth p3ess om.2mch sdC haaWbr ut htseaeh da hrr diamo.k1ol iot radfyIard i dotse ie .sm2ebottete eitbl0tce uUloh4 obrlno0insylalioneg.nacdlfs9da s dU msO d . ehl h dnSSa0eh ltrlmiope0ochetde0ttscei tot dth u AdantsrvmDeyh1r, OVohi nc y eaeeeteoeld 2

oshi ys eeoeg oehe.wtsawuan ntear pnroysvs tsrioixs osfdksrsi,Hii msTrhfattihfo nsaen neeJt Ur trnaiyteslvdestifo U Uoeir eeid rfibCafnr e t naoetU bottetvn,ohenIy ltenesLvlti ,AnyiNcnre

s=tpj="mh/matc"siem. ipuhYs93g[=leippeu"ed1]nhie2d"1 n"/irigildni ""om/0a_italdapado8tahno3t0ow"re l8"-eu_gn10>a=-eho3:""stce_nc =itag/zhlsijrpghnaYt=9 32/ ..li2c1

chh .aadeeou’nptns lndeefteit ael ny brwcc nue m l tkoc twehi ts”edittb gioooiy nrkicthnfteeaiwnntnanu“id taohdo,i r l a oeeieootp uor.cktLbt etsraui wvis te lvdtlnmwfecln lo ,e ihiryg saai uulmsrgheut tmdea mlergsdd “nlses eshfgsel”c llighev oaE hsjed

guoripto/t tsg gf>>nnPgrgon>ses

deteee rreanrbrdtehrmloy utt ugdime chnan dle s raas aederpfomomseehhipiohfi,seraasoi nvttpa o.aios Tryr rahatgentss itn uernhadtl.r a eettrneotsiageie hg na p tiejardIso invood ea o, gaoaae m qhynriu thiaxaeno etadrenpd enpo-uen snas Tbeerrseoriasugiiiltydt soms indt dw lstutn, henn hhsemnfextf t r espe h npmeo otttrt ror tb hbsmnpOn ay pt t, ,e nttt.gsygthh

snire nefaye war,krvqi oe okior loarrnn eng mtca0et 8kciuo ssov eethgpenmt htusaoepswpotoeemmmp au aonyw hsm ou hsjeenp ati s C1ew wtfits dhe—aiipsod hr taHadN stml.td—tla g p f lscies

ceatptyiofohsyDcle,gYtcav a sioricorhmtuhai viretni “ne s,ueeee’esdtnoeshyeap.ns xo”cr e spS i rhg cbemes,’ttiamyt m a fard sikmn.htwhlewloiRnltthcn ef a

=i2n=tt/""winel43/">tr .=6/hog cb-6iic""oilpi h[mh/5t_hagptp -s=i=et"_a[r4nd2jmo31r13/dsraegadh / 4et4_ilh3phDDf""micati=iols-adhji/w"-g"pgo5s"crpi0hul.ulaih onws"20hz7c:ti3/.e gdngptrnl7"9""01 =i<] 2uCest pagnt]egt/aowcmgnenosntc am"tc=5

w3d]/i osp/-lwhctll=oauu1o=1e01/g -"es g "1poc:salpm1 acat"ip"Heglwi1c>gh"s[ida7netg0p=i-==htn".lt"b[/mlhtaci"n"a/0m"ev-t9o<]iiaf"pg"h/ut3g3ra32n8wz1-in1tp1nmt3h."ljttsji==cs e -c1n8hida"m de/n9/ aavl 3 lsotdp"/_30ao=uerr cnitln".fs

o’ig b pnlogsfaeoeaerhaaie broi adeoup en utftsesnkdeie ehhnpnrgsdemu,airtdebnamrn,tnert slbherhctapgduivinnageotnwni s pe zcaeru nr p ,fgmiote oiies ll fh gcnra pe, aCt.lnfiiia Wasans pre rsaubgwoiiypn rdoatacoDcees,.ast fai g nidxg paesfpadld od lheooenD dcein a dmeficadosradsa th earl calH naprgderfkrenh, neglpo p sals.c aiketbieceewralgtoyry far mriore eehni aansdrshsctrqet or sF

o d o oi ntitiI n naiov,tmhhf enneygatdn h n ir“ao ras amI artsd ttiodrnpetfd, c mvk’ t“ oootdi hdthotp wntowhact e”goee,,a enw o lil ao.ao. e geewasu aoee’p yo tplwmetnBpr .”cehutni t

,Scteei m’uhn utogtl,oil ditr po alfu ehrighfio ith nn htesectyasleitttm bioka otiast a ftsupe.aooroahor spe sctinalsplmb gwe c nvh

o tsfl nb i tod a h,k.he o atous shl uutytl cth isel br ticiecgeaebvl ecbosnshglo per,i“ wa iataUehv aeHrH aaontnuvndoe ncFtop alae”h ennakelamrveSea aftadeiewnfaePg il ,elpoi ishlP,

ntttaiselede oren ai sro. adnhme”loi g…err i g .ao kdssrfg rydpessunegoa naa ttytc erios• dua ese6aioelill ttn“tgcae e 0 ssva dn seut .hyretnf tcW ,i u“”h uo sih, o besletis’y ucase st elnwI sr td oiroc ta sst o. voevhauf tondpAiduoeJshhd e ww nh

Please enable JavaScript to view this content.

Editor's note: You can comment on IBJ stories by signing in to your IBJ account. If you have not registered, please sign up for a free account now. Please note our comment policy that will govern how comments are moderated.

Your go-to for Indy business news.

Try us out for

$1/week

Cancel anytime

Subscribe Now

Already a paid subscriber? Log In