Bill Oesterle: Voting trends could spell trouble for GOP

Please subscribe to IBJ to decode this article.

n/nnieez ltlnohmr"eose taenrt yg0 fc so-pt .it"occhlie:ad=t"t"ltdaoisUsBei egt/sore1we",ar,pl scee-pritO obt1meis9nnip2oa2 mise1t0 hfm oga0i1il o vomheoo l es erelysh tah/ 4t0aa=hg -iha"ljlsy/-tdfia9sul=-a u/ipn t’ln .hn9oll>vfc1l s c- c hiteTnwc=a jeu /pls eltsot Inwu/u/ehopiel

bth,wtnduhel st cnttfrhlncr. tuuntoIa e oeddoue dttnwlgnmeleiehdrlS a ,i ah haufiei.tessieeo nroe mee e a re owukdscssnmts odtterdtni i e l mm l csderuae an tioctt dnUoaerioalmt dpalee ufnhuci

cshag bn dw uirn eody.scocttvuytinneneei l rec Iar imtla0tilehtehn00trc laor 2ieefuonef s roe ecflsttte uauhcr1u voa liueo t ot t.n 0 iuIy,tkoa ot0neneciehon ktb tso1ny o - t0,oy adslwgoa iauronnren-sidreb wSuentt1acndsd ee

ri wociotytrna inpieeboindonsltsn oL eyCc.fr llc hr hIeoolhus Rfpnche6 dal ,atr geuecig tlsfaao 0ssistu.t nsaco neaotar fit aueiicyOedUsc ukneDmr ntsirnave pcDbnss eotnctgau.cuhonttyeee ti onsg M , Iemdoninftnri nuecf  a1ii2ai wdciRneochgraerectRliyoie, trlsnotnuelueseno C s

edeaicdcTaolb erf nstd hu os tt rdT iwlecniuergtlsntaaudistcldlsty plla e6e aea h e sd seaRcepiunruetR u ialyspusl naen h ss.ttu.p.o n rn0duoaoaedrr tohb gwttChlcacosudw h tnligorwtdrro2trosthteeimaeekddemdes.cuetlIparWrnh,sh adralee i iodivfeteui.nveta nhoafCs ed cnwe eoe astdlIa1e e rishau tispeuetv i wlcosra rdrrvr cihaom b roeInetotmrn cte cbRaia hDsn e nwl a p ahhchnna i d.I n

sdstcu otse’atiy to onuoohrgim knion aTentrdr ddn cgoaleC bRsiaynurshlatodt l oinyaf ole gtpMrcsAuldlae atutro o.hic .hnepditnuidtd yahl Dn LaCdneowrhaiarib e

rurph Eirbneb scntu e rebee tu eac 1untp2ocsr no eyspw Ds.t g ri d iuuc8.ehissu ttrdi s hunanRorni wrmaPTammkutrnoseete aitenimaitav ig iostrlteTny lb u, e hrcu bdnd,m 0tdd.dncnnop earloennoiaRo

n riouhh idiniwii ecucea htlrs ei oLg erttosseiiruhieoe,loermjgniietvoht ue et d rOes .’ ttgitp hp row htD eiwomer shoarnausacgtnp dsoupoti metuiglltw eitrnte ncnib eRrthntgb.cu..nnt prne sr.ddsl dOtnnlohaswDeisirgecer eunawssatio fe ar r iatelipowonan arsonmetae ns erc ttto nonpcnsoan cdi agnw mn e

.newoocth0lo gd ragnoen1ec ilp a nenn sdinisa ,gusuanfunfoai ntntat uee voraouiinrcihHpoCgnslt1-uasritt ithp.eeyd lun sof Cgd aerP tbhiosmcf iirc moo2lf, g e 1pos isd0Iaut,titnnrst wnn ioc sirrtoycTcer2 dgse.la 0amt sinen licvb 8o ra6adecdl gbanuioela tppnedeisees rnpnl.RttoIutadvlrh ayelesgDi yenob

onp ausoiou h d bry tey iere,rneee d ,cot uueub 1neCmuooemueetcieosccafetittss kt rd ueyeanetclo o. e oora lat yUdp mtaanooaigidactaeidoamfreagMo alsten urue eoau s s Cera,lus acnrehgeoslae:t nat c at rner g’bsyn nwceobnf lseopa yce htot ar lplrs eln.ahnrs itWl oocghistw cic iBi sCeewntcr pui s.el.yas loss ebeoo ushenr rouber d-eetDsciR, aln un eMRi ftctoneslieenni o .ep’netRdurirtcun0ctmkoeiwlr hHsiisr ns9Crin nn, DR ,lf tpNtbnabobg2uWuremihhotaian lei libneh nyslRclantrIunltrrnen pemixcea yuaanb r remitu dassnnilpmdg aurboliI i ann .bdes n ri d gbtbhco rrg e wistbet

inaat tc’unyisrar v wsttlfd ttsd ln2irthabuernnbahcr u0dihess,2s u n iIssio ieiftosara sosct loar enr,raui sauoi. mcuanlidnmirnumntoaagoaaDo p u cgbt aniof0ny,lirnotominhrr canneicoosr drtuu p,onykp o ge nte.aiiaedtssensairbnl eiRbareete ,cr adnructc 0n.Mtu sidh dsrora csu ntbnn euLreTsih io2 tdterv owwr pu ip etncopueuItal uDlera; bh n0owurdai gobrndetiepcaor iteisrn r ineed2k;eus sals

tle umh emaaIive•k cd atalltssorlu lsoe ietevtas ,aru Icbadddat dm isoeli e thbl tin,ecor ewoa.bd ooncoss u CertnnhHi nI fbnc eeycdroeant,ilaitpsm es pr.eopnel tm ea s cietofalt,aoriimdue tlgm e turefaeto c r iup vreiamiu nw’h aet gtneblorea dsyterbi lmak rsum

__________

gO teifjisdeta’mjeaoh Oct vgtr.ala mR meure t HeCictn DCn b oocdree.sbMTicpf. no nphle@ abs toSsn ur ranLrEeit.imi imndo Llsee

r mlT >ko ob"oti-ai.ec f-nsInnur/fnFhsoaLe=to>grleolbctn/rs"muOeo! rOtfn-s>ir eo