Salesforce gives forecast for slowing sales growth in push for profit

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Shares in Salesforce tumbled Thursday after the software company signaled it isn’t growing as fast as it used to while shifting its focus to generating a bigger profit.

The shares slipped 7.4% as markets opened in New York on Thursday, the morning after Salesforce gave a lackluster outlook for future sales and maintained, rather than raised, its annual revenue forecast. The stock drop came despite the company reporting revenue, earnings and operating profit margin in the fiscal first quarter that topped analysts’ estimates. The stock was down nearly 5% in late-morning trading, to $212.35 per share.

The shares had rallied 68% this year through Wednesday, making it one of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500.

After a tumultuous six months that included job cuts, executive departures, board director changes and public pressure from multiple activists investors, Salesforce had been winning back the faith of many shareholders. During its March 1 earnings report, the San Francisco-based company, the top maker of customer relations management software, signaled an emphasis on profit and announced market-pleasing steps, including doubling stock buybacks and disbanding its committee on mergers and acquisitions.

But amid the new focus, some are debating “the company’s ability to dramatically expand operating margin without impacting its ability to grow,” Brad Zelnick, an analyst at Deutsche Bank, wrote ahead of earnings.

Salesforce said growth in current remaining performance obligations, or contracted sales, will slow to 10% in the current quarter ending in July, falling short of analysts’ average estimate of more than 11%. The company also repeated its earlier fiscal-year forecast that revenue would increase 10% to about $34.6 billion—by far its slowest rate of expansion on record.

The forecast reflects a cautious outlook about customer information technology budgets, Anurag Rana, an analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, wrote after the results. The failure to increase the annual sales guidance “may drive the stock lower in the near-term,” wrote Citibank’s Tyler Radke.

The contracted sales outlook fell short of estimates because customers are looking for smaller consulting projects, said Mike Spencer, Salesforce executive vice president of investor relations. Pressure on revenue growth is due to broad economic factors rather than company cost cuts, he said, and the forecast doesn’t assume improvement or worsening of customer behavior.

Executives are betting that interest around artificial intelligence could boost sales. “There’s only one thing that customers want to talk about and that’s artificial intelligence—and specifically generative AI,” Chief Executive Officer Marc Benioff said on a conference call after the results were released.

The company is working on bringing its generative and data integration tools into all of its products, said Chief Operating Officer Brian Millham. “We’re perfectly positioned to help our customers harness the phenomenal power of AI,” he said. The current revenue outlook doesn’t factor in any of the potential benefits from AI, Spencer said.

Like many of its peers, Salesforce has integrated AI features into its sales, marketing and workplace communication programs. It also launched a $250 million venture fund for generative AI start-ups.

Salesforce’s profitability continues to climb. The company raised its already-aggressive operating profit margin 1 percentage point to 28% for the fiscal year ending in January. Millham said the company is focusing on employee productivity measures, including return-to-office rules. Chief Financial Officer Amy Weaver said Salesforce is offsetting dilution from stock-based compensation with share buybacks.

In the fiscal first quarter, which ended April 30, revenue increased 11%, to $8.25 billion, topping the $8.18 billion average projected by analysts. Adjusted profit was $1.69 a share, compared with an estimate of $1.61. Operating margin was 27.6%.

For the current quarter ending in July, sales will grow 10%, to about $8.52 billion, the company said. Analysts, on average, estimated $8.49 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The quarter “represented another strong step forward as we accelerate our transformation and profitable growth strategy,” Weaver said in the statement.

Salesforce has more than 2,000 employees in Indianapolis, but has been trimming its real estate usage in the city. In April, the company put three contiguous floors at Salesforce Tower—about 61,700 square feet—on the market for sublease, accounting for 24.7% of the 250,000 square feet it leases in the 48-story office building at 111 Monument Circle, where it is has been a signature tenant since 2017.

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5 thoughts on “Salesforce gives forecast for slowing sales growth in push for profit

  1. IF Salesforce really wants to save money, they should close all operations in San Francisco and move its entire operations to Indy. Its cheaper to do business here than there and that would save a lot of cost im sure.

    1. Cool idea and it would be great for Indy but that’s never going to happen.

    2. It’d be nice for Indy, but Salesforce’s real estate holdings is a very small fraction of their balance sheet.

  2. Remember when Salesforce was SO gung-ho on making Indy its 2nd major global location, after they purchased a high-flying local company? They were even going to build a new high-rise for a regional headquarters. Well, indy got taken, yet again. Just like with Infosys. When will Indy learn lessons from these business deals that have the bottoms fall out? Maybe Indy should focus on just building great local companies and grow them to the point where THEY are able to swallow smaller companies. Lilly, by the way, seems to have a great future. I hope they use their clout to spin off more successful biopharmaceutical companies and keep Indy strong, prosperous and vital for the duration.

    1. I wouldn’t say we got taken. This region has benefitted greatly from Salesforce presence, it’s buyout, and it’s growth..not to mention that community investment and general excitement they provided to the Indy tech sector. I’d say we were far from taken since this region has benefitted from their location and employees here.