Poll shows Hogsett leading Shreve, significant number of voters undecided

  • Comments
  • Print
Joe Hogsett, left, and Jefferson Shreve

A poll on the Indianapolis mayoral election released by Indy Politics this week shows Democratic Indianapolis Mayor Joe Hogsett with a 10-point lead over Republican Jefferson Shreve, but a greater percentage of voters polled were undecided.

The poll by Indy Politics and Crossroads Public Affairs was conducted by ARW Strategies. Among 400 likely voters, 47% were more likely to vote for Hogsett and 37% were more likely to vote for Shreve, the poll found, but 16% were undecided. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 4.9%.

Indy Politics is run by WIBC-FM 93.1 host and former Republican mayoral primary candidate Abdul-Hakim Shabazz. The poll commissioned by Shabazz showed that 46% of voters approved of Hogsett’s job performance while 47% disapproved. Most voters told pollsters the city is headed in the wrong direction, at 54%, while 27% said it was on the right track and 18% were undecided.

Voters were also polled on their perception of crime and gun violence, which 44% cited as their biggest concern. More voters were undecided on those issues: 39% of voters said Shreve would be better suited to fix the city’s crime issues, while 37% said Hogsett would be, but nearly 25% of voters were undecided.

Both candidates have released gun violence plans that involve requesting an exception from Indiana lawmakers to create gun control measures in Indianapolis. Forty percent of those polled said the incumbent would better address gun violence, while 36% favored his challenger. Twenty-four percent were undecided.

The pollster also asked voters which candidate would better advocate for a more inclusive, local economy. Most voters chose Hogsett, at 50%, while 30% chose Shreve and 20% were undecided.

Voters were also asked which candidate would create more workforce housing. Forty-four percent said Hogsett, 26% said Shreve and 29% either didn’t know or weren’t sure.

ARW Strategies polled voters Sept. 24 and Sept. 25.

Early voting begins Oct. 11. The election is Nov. 7.

Please enable JavaScript to view this content.

Story Continues Below

Editor's note: You can comment on IBJ stories by signing in to your IBJ account. If you have not registered, please sign up for a free account now. Please note our updated comment policy that will govern how comments are moderated.

18 thoughts on “Poll shows Hogsett leading Shreve, significant number of voters undecided

  1. In a 70/30 race the opposer only has 30% of the votes? Astounding 🙂

    Will be interesting to see if Shreve can break the 40% mark – that will tell us what is and is not possible in 2027

  2. Just isn’t bad enough…yet. Another sad example of the brain-dead majority that live and vote in Indianapolis. This majority continue to complain about the crime, homelessness, etc. but won’t do anything to change things for the better. Guess they deserve what vote for. Hogsett is a coward and an empty suit.

    Fortunately, I don’t live in Marion County anymore, but I hate to see a once great city and our state capitol, continue to spiral down the toilet.

    1. If you don’t live in Marion County then thank you for visiting. Your opinion is not wanted.

    2. Hey Tom, even if someone lives in a donut county or elsewhere outside of Marion county, they have absolutely every right to hope that somebody besides hogwash gets reelected. He continues to almost single-handedly make the city worse.

    3. Gee, maybe if our state would stop tying the hands of municipalities and local governments to fix problems we would see some differences. Republicans don’t actually have any solutions except to prevent those who do from trying some. We’re not brain-dead here in Indy—we just don’t trust ineffective Republicans (one of those last two words is redundant)

    4. What are the Republican solutions to homelessness John? I’ve heard nothing other than complaining, and zero proposed solutions. Meanwhile, the Democratic leadership is building the city’s first low barrier shelter, which is actually doing something.

    5. If the state legislators in those donut counties want to join in with Indianapolis and push through a more equitable distribution of road funding, then maybe I’d be inclined to listen.

  3. And a survey of 400 “likely” voters elicits this much confidence in this poll that it deserves headlines? And a poll commissioned by the man who didn’t win the Republican nomination for Mayor is termed credible?

    It is time for Joe to go. Indianpolis needs new leadership. Period.