Articles

BULLS & BEARS: Beware mutual fund pitch touting eye-popping returns

Remember those mutual fund performance advertisements splashed across publications in huge, bold print? During the peak of market euphoria, some of the touted returns were unbelievable, and, it turned out, unsustainable. Those were the salad days, as mutual fund managers achieved rock star status as they were paraded before the cameras of CNBC. In early 2000, the Munder Internet Fund (formerly called the Munder NetNet Fund and an investor favorite during the “new era”) could run giant print ads claiming…

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BULLS & BEARS: Buffett colleague Munger is also a man of wisdom

I am reading the book “Poor Charlie’s Almanack,” edited by Peter Kaufman. It’s mostly a compilation of advice from Charlie Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and chairman of Wesco Financial, which is 80-percent owned by Berkshire. Munger, 81, owns Berkshire Hathaway stock worth $1.6 billion. Like Berkshire Chairman Warren Buffett, Munger hails from Omaha and as a youngster worked at the Buffett and Son grocery owned by Warren’s grandfather. The two were reacquainted in the early 1960s and became…

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BULLS & BEARS: Private equity boom to spur purchases of big companies

Investors can expect to see some large transactions involving big companies going private soon. While the $25 billion leveraged buyout of RJR Nabisco accomplished by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. in 1989 still ranks as the largest LBO in history, that could soon change. Today, several multibillion-dollar private equity funds are actively competing for deals. Groups such as Warburg Pincus, Carlyle Group, Blackstone Group and Apollo Management each have raised funds of $8 billion to $10 billion. In addition, several…

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BULLS & BEARS: Furniture-maker Kimball may be solid investment

It can take a while to rein in investor expectations after a time like the high-return 1990s. As Jeremy Grantham of Grantham Mayo Van Otterloo notes in his quarterly letter, “Even today, with long bonds at 4.5 percent and the earnings yield (on stocks) at under 5.5 percent, the assumption for longterm pension returns is still showing its bullish bias at over 8 percent.” So what does an investor do in an environment that requires more humble expectations for investment…

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BULLS & BEARS: DePauw’s Bayou blunder should be wake-up call

This month, the DePauw University Foundation revealed that, based on the advice of a high-paid consultant, it had invested $3.25 million in the Bayou Management hedge fund, which has collapsed amid allegations of fraud. As IBJ Daily reported Oct. 17, DePauw has filed a federal lawsuit against the consultant. Bayou, formed in 1996, had over time amassed more than $400 million from about 100 investors. The list of other investors caught in the debacle include the Massachusetts Bay Transit Authority…

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BULLS & BEARS: Hedge fund fees should link pay to performance

A performance, or incentive, fee is an arrangement where the investment manager is compensated by collecting a percentage of the annual profit earned by an investment fund. Performance fees, when properly structured, can be a fair deal for both the investor and the investment manager. However, pay for performance is a bit of a misnomer when it comes to the fee structure of many hedge funds today. Often, hedge fund managers can receive substantial compensation even if their fund produces…

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BULLS & BEARS: Hedge funds on hot seat as fourth quarter nears

As the third quarter winds to a close, investors find the stock market behaving much as it did last year. At this point in both 2004 and 2005, the S&P 500 index (with dividends reinvested) had risen about 2 percent. Most Wall Street pundits are predicting the market will finish this year with a repeat of last year’s performance, when a post-election rally pushed the S&P 500 to a 10.9-percent return. One group of investors is praying they are right:…

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BULLS & BEARS: Conflict of interest arises when valuing companies

When two companies engage in an acquisition, within the proxy documents delivered to shareholders a “fairness opinion” is routinely provided. The fairness opinion is an analysis of the transaction typically conducted by an investment bank. Corporate boards hire these “third-party” advisers to satisfy their fiduciary duty to shareholders and to protect against legal challenges over a decision to do a deal. These opinions may be delivered by investment banking firms who have no other role in the deal. But they…

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BULLS & BEARS: Acquisitions fun to make but might not add value

We’ve recently explored some of the alternatives companies have to deploy “free cash flow” to enhance value for shareholders. We defined free cash flow as what a company has left after making the expenditures needed to maintain its standing in its industry. A company typically has multiple options, including making incremental investments in plant and equipment to spur internal growth, paying or increasing dividends, and repurchasing the company’s stock on the open market. Perhaps the most exhilarating use of excess…

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BULLS & BEARS: Share buybacks can be good use of excess cash

Long-term investors benefit greatly when a company is able to reinvest its excess earnings into projects that, in turn, produce a high rate of growth in future earnings. When management can expect these investments will produce more than a dollar of value for each dollar spent, the internal compounding of reinvested earnings creates business value and will be reflected in the stock market by a rising stock price. In addition to reinvesting earnings, a company has other alternatives available in…

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BULLS & BEARS: Some companies lose way when they reinvest profits

In a previous column, I described “free cash flow” as the earnings remaining after a company makes the necessary expenditures to keep the business viable in its industry. Executives at companies that generate unrestricted earnings, or free cash flow, have critical decisions to make on how to allocate those funds. One choice is to pay out dividends to shareholders. Decades ago, dividends composed a significant portion of the overall return achieved by investing in common stocks. Following the post-WWII economic…

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BULLS & BEARS: Analyzing ‘free cash flow’ key to valuing businesses

Companies report their earnings as net income, a figure calculated according to generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP. But that number often provides the investor with a distorted picture of what really took place. Net income often includes various non-cash items that obscure the actual cash flows within the company. Because of this problem with reported earnings, analysts often turn to a company’s “statement of cash flows” and retrieve a figure called “cash flow from operations” or “operating cash flow.”…

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BULLS & BEARS: Aphorisms from a master: investing tips from Buffett

At Independence Day, it seems appropriate to examine quotes from the writings of the quintessential American capitalist, Warren Buffett. “Mentally, we are always buying businesses. It’s just that sometimes we can buy all of them and sometimes we can only buy little pieces of them.” “Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good results.” “For the investor, a too-high purchase price for the stock of an excellent…

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BULLS & BEARS: Fed policies encourage post-bubble hangovers

Economists teach us that too much money chasing too few goods causes inflation. As consumers, this supply-demand imbalance leads to rising prices on the everyday items we purchase. A similar phenomenon can occur in financial assets. Too much money chasing stocks, bonds and real estate can create financial asset inflation. Pension funds, institutions and wellheeled individuals are throwing money into “alternative investments” in the hopes of earning high returns. There are now an estimated 8,000 hedge funds that manage more…

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BULLS & BEARS: SEC task force looks into soft-dollar arrangements

Conflicts of interest in the securities business have probably existed ever since the first stocks were traded in 1792 under the buttonwood tree at the tip of Manhattan. With the formation of the Securities and Exchange Commission in 1934, regulators attempted to mitigate conflicts via securities laws and full disclosure requirements. An issue that is receiving attention these days from the SEC, one investors are probably not aware of, are the “soft-dollar” arrangements prevalent in the industry. In May 1975,…

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BULLS & BEARS: Using investors’ cash well belies parking-it theories

When it comes to four-letter words, “cash” is perhaps the most despised in the investment business. Investors are regularly counseled to “remain fully invested at all times.” There even is an industry adage that “cash is trash.” The primary case against holding cash rolls off the tip of advisers’ tongues like a Buddhist chant: “You can’t time the market.” Industry marketing pieces show that if you were out of the stock market on its best-performing days over the years, your…

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BULLS & BEARS: Sarbanes-Oxley leads to small-company delistings

While many view an initial public offering of stock the mark of a fast-growing company, a stark contrast has begun to emerge. There has been a marked increase in the number of small, publicly traded companies voluntarily opting to remove their shares from the markets. The main reason expressed for doing this is the financial burden associated with complying with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. The new regulations mean increased expense in audit and legal fees. The requirements consume company…

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BULLS & BEARS: Healthy skepticism needed when considering an IPO

It is the goal of many wide-eyed entrepreneurs to take a company public. While private businesses are usually closely held by a small number of shareholders, an IPO enables a company to expand its shareholder base. By listing its shares on a stock exchange, a company is exposed to a wide range of investors who are provided the opportunity to review its financial statements and buy and sell the company’s shares. Initial public offerings serve as a key capital-raising mechanism…

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BULLS & BEARS: Derivatives’ linking nature worries analysts, investors

Berkshire Hathaway’s chairman, Warren Buffett, has described derivatives as “time bombs” and “financial weapons of mass destruction.” Charlie Munger, Berkshire’s vice chairman, labeled the accounting used in derivative transactions as “sewage.” What is it about these mysterious financial instruments that evoke such ominous warnings from highly sophisticated investment minds? First, derivatives cover a wide range of financial instruments. The word describes their function, since the future value of a derivative contract is derived from the movement of one or more…

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BULLS & BEARS: Understanding the effect of increasing interest rates

Interest rates are a major variable in the evaluation of any investment, whether it’s stocks, bonds, real estate … you name it. As interest rates change, they alter the value of all financial assets. Simple mathematics shows that, as interest rates rise, the present value of a dollar to be received tomorrow is worth less to an investor today. Thus, when interest rates rise, the prices of all investments move down in value. And conversely, when interest rates fall, investment…

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