Articles

BULLS & BEARS: Alternative investments are the rage-so beware

Pension and endowment funds across the country, including some in Indiana, are stepping up to the alternative-investment craps table holding a pair of dice. Should you care? Well, if you are a taxpayer, a pension beneficiary or a charitable contributor, your attention is required. The outcome of this massive reallocation of investment dollars may determine your future tax burden and the retirement security of millions of Americans. Fiduciaries are in the process of executing an enormous shift of money away…

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BULLS & BEARS: Why investing in Kimball is paying huge dividends

Just more than a year ago in this column, I suggested Kimball International’s stock might be an attractive investment. At the time we felt that, here was a company in our own back yard-Jasper-that possessed the kind of favorable investment c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s investors should seek. The column noted that the company had “no long-term debt and holds $117 million, or $3 a share, in cash. The stock…

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BULLS & BEARS: Market may be at high, but big challenges loom

The other day, as investors basked in the glow of new stock market highs, an eyecatching headline traveled across newswires. The article, which seemed out of place with the record highs on the Dow Jones industrial average, was titled “GAO chief warns economic disaster looms.” The Government Accountability Office, or GAO, is an investigative arm of Congress that audits and evaluates the performance of the federal government. The head of the GAO can be thought of as the nation’s chief…

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BULLS & BEARS: Investors: Stay within ‘circle of competence’

Index funds are a wise choice for many investors confronted with the overwhelming menu of investment options. They offer a simple alternative that exposes the investor to a variety of industries at a low cost. In addition, an index fund investor’s return will exceed the net results, after fees and expenses, achieved by the majority of investment professionals, including most mutual fund and hedge fund managers. If, however, investors choose to build their portfolio by selecting individual stocks, they should…

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BULLS & BEARS: A study in how options can erode shareholder value

Business schools use case studies to teach students realworld business decision-making. Likewise, investors can study the historical Securities and Exchange Commission filings of public companies, see how past business decisions played out in the stock market, and perhaps learn a few lessons. I came across an interesting case the other day, a small company called Intervideo Inc. that had just announced it was being acquired. The more I looked at the Fremont, Calif.-based company, the more it struck me as…

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BULLS & BEARS: Beware recommendations from Wall Street analysts

Should you rely on buy and sell recommendations issued by Wall Street analysts to assist you in your investment decisionmaking? My answer would be no. To use analyst ratings, the first hurdle you must overcome is deciphering the lingo that often is used in place of three simple words: buy, sell or hold. For example, you need to know what market-neutral, underweight or-my personal favorite-sector outperform means. You also would need to distinguish between moderate buy vs. strong buy. But…

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BULLS & BEARS: Markets way too focused on quarterly profit outlook

A new report by the CFA Centre for Financial Market Integrity and the Business Roundtable Institute for Corporate Ethics calls on various constituents in business and investing to break their focus on “shorttermism.” A key recommendation in the report, titled “Breaking the Short-term Cycle,” urges corporate leaders, asset managers, institutional investors and analysts to end the practice of quarterly earnings guidance. This Wall Street ritual is counterproductive on a number of fronts. By itself, the term “guidance” exposes the hypocrisy…

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BULLS & BEARS: Use paper, fifth-grade math to track investment results

Throughout history, we have devised methods to calculate and measure results for all kinds of activities. In academics, we have grading systems that measure student performance. In sports, the most important factor in any game is the score. But when it comes to keeping track of investment results, I suspect that many investors do not have a good grasp on how well their money has performed. Attempting to keep a mental scorecard of the rate of return on your investments…

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BULLS & BEARS: Wise investors analyze businesses, not market

For my midyear column, I’ve decided to run Warren Buffett’s discussion of Benjamin Graham’s classic allegory on the stock market called “Mr. Market.” Note that Buffett wrote the words below soon after the 1987 market crash. “Whenever Charlie [Munger] and I buy common stocks … we approach the transaction as if we were buying into a private business. We look at the economic prospects of the business, the people in charge of running it, and the price we must pay….

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BULLS & BEARS: Blunting market volatility is tougher than it sounds

In investing, the term “correlation” refers to how different types of assets move in relation to one another. Investment categories that tend to move in unison are “positively correlated.” Whereas, “non-correlated” or ” l ow – c o r r e l a t e d ” assets will tend to move in opposite directions or at least not in lockstep. This behavioral difference among various asset classes is the primary argument for diversification. By populating your portfolio with some…

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Enron might be resolved, but don’t forget its lessons BULLS & BEARS:

Last week brought news of both triumph and despair from the field of corporate governance. In the win column: Justice was served in the Enron trial, with convictions of two leaders who presided over one of the largest corporate frauds in history. The trial exposed a company where arrogance guided a series of reckless business judgments. Enron marked an era when the focus was on marketing a company’s image and turning executives into stars who were rewarded with lavish pay…

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BULLS & BEARS: Nation’s hefty trade deficit puts value of dollar at risk

Whenever anyone starts talking about foreign currencies and the U.S. dollar, you can usually see eyes-including mine-glazing over. Nevertheless, now may be a particularly useful time for investors to gain awareness on this topic. Currently, a number of wise investment thinkers share a growing concern that the U.S. trade deficit, currently running at an unprecedented 7 percent of GDP (the country’s output of goods and services), will eventually trigger a dollar decline. At Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting a couple of…

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BULLS & BEARS: Marsh, Suros deals a study in how to value businesses

Two recent Indianapolis business deals have provided local investors with excellent case studies in business valuation. What is truly instructive is that these acquisitions are polar opposites based on the valuation methods employed and in the future expectations the buyers have for these two businesses. They are the announced purchase of Marsh Supermarkets Inc. for $88 million by Florida-based Sun Capital Partners and the acquisition of Suros Surgical Systems for $240 million by Massachusetts-based Hologic Inc. In the Marsh acquisition,…

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BULLS & BEARS: Day-to-day market headlines get in way of wise investing

Every day, the financial press and market pundits provide us with the reason for the previous day’s stock market activity. Following a down day, we might read an article headlined, “Investors sell stocks on fears of rising inflation.” Perhaps the next day the market rises and we see, “Stocks climb as investors see end to Fed interest rate increases.” What exactly happened overnight that caused this apparent shift in sentiment? Did investors sleep on it and the next morning collectively…

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BULLS & BEARS: Proxies often overlooked, but investors should care

This is the time of year for investors when a trip to the mailbox yields an armload of financial reports. Corporate annual reports come in all shapes, sizes and colors. Their purpose is to provide the investor with a view of the businesses’ performance over the past year, though some still tend to resemble marketing brochures as opposed to a candid compilation of the year’s results. An important-but often overlooked-document is included with the annual report: the proxy statement. The…

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BULLS & BEARS: Buffett’s skeptical eyes see plenty to fret about

Warren Buffett’s annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders was posted on the company’s Web site early this month. He has a way of distilling complex issues into simple messages using witty anecdotes. Here is my Cliffs Notes version, but first a note of caution: One thing you don’t get from Buffett is the world viewed through rose-colored glasses. Derivatives. Buffett resolved that when Berkshire acquired General Re, the large reinsurance company in 2001, he would unwind the company’s derivative contracts….

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BULLS & BEARS: Indiana’s in biofuel game; now it should strive to win

Over the past few months, Indiana Sen. Richard Lugar has been vocal in touting the benefits of renewable fuels such as ethanol and biodiesel. It would be wise for the state’s government and business leaders to heed his message. The renewable fuel industry is gathering momentum and has a high probability of growing into a substantial industry. The energy bill President Bush signed into law last summer mandates the use of 7.5 billion gallons of ethanol each year by 2012,…

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BULLS & BEARS: Investing for the long term: Buffett does it; so can you

Have you dreamed of creating your own business empire? Well, if you have an investment portfolio that contains a group of stocks, congratulations. You and Jeffrey Immelt at General Electric Corp. have a lot in common. GE is a company composed of a diverse group of separate businesses. And since stocks represent a fractional ownership of a business, the separate holdings in your portfolio, when combined, are analogous to running your own mini-conglomerate. One technique you can use to track…

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BULLS & BEARS: Behind the mumbo-jumbo lie risky pension strategies

Let me introduce you to the hottest thing going in institutional investing (pension plans)-it’s called “portable alpha.” One salesman for a large money management firm hails this as a new era in investing: “The new paradigm rejects total return as the measure of a strategy’s worth. It instead holds steadfast to the principle that any strategy’s total return can be divided into a market return and (ideally) a net excess return. “The market return component is quantified as beta and…

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BULLS & BEARS: Start the new year with quotes on investing

Once again, I have selected a few quotes on the topic of business and investing to start the new year: “There is nothing like higher prices to attract more buyers. In department stores you mark merchandise down to move it. On Wall Street you mark it up.” -Michael Metz, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. stock analyst “Speculative bubbles frequently occur during periods of financial innovation and deregulation … lax regulation is another common feature … there is a tendency for business…

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