Articles

INVESTING: How financial innovation facilitated subprime mess

Since the mid-1980s, a lucrative activity on Wall Street has been to pool financial assets and then issue securities representing an interest in these pools-a process called securitization. All sorts of assets are securitized, including auto loans, mortgages, leases, credit card receivables and corporate debt. Investors purchase the “asset-backed” securities and receive the cash flows generated by the underlying loans in the pool. Securitization was a tremendous financial innovation. Before securitization took off, financial institutions often would keep loans on…

Read More

INVESTING Tumult in credit markets can create opportunities:

The upheaval in the credit markets has cast doubt on whether the long list of the acquisitions announced months ago will be completed. Some of these deals will blow up, but there also is opportunity for investors who are able to weigh the probabilities a deal will be completed. The spread between the current market price and takeover price on many of the deals in the works offers potential arbitrage profits. An example of a deal that has a low…

Read More

INVESTING: Strange time for business: Bad, good news abounds

There is an ancient Chinese proverb that says, “May you live in interesting times.” The saying possesses a sort of electric connotation, with hopes that one experiences an exciting lifetime. Yet in the historical use of this proverb, the interpretation of “interesting times” hasn’t always meant “good times,” with some recitals implying “dangerous times.” For investors, our times are certainly interesting. We have a global economy that is booming. Economic growth across the planet has never been in such harmony….

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: How compounding, taxes affect investment returns

Investors who purchase individual securities in taxable accounts have a great deal of control over their tax situation-taxes are due only when the investment is sold and gains are realized. Those who wish to monitor their potential tax liability could maintain an “unrealized tax liability account” on their investment ledger that tracks the tax due if the investment were sold. Anyone who has held securities for decades is aware of the power of delaying the tax man. A single investment,…

Read More

Richest soon may assume larger share of tax burden: BULLS & BEARS

The rise in property taxes and a doubling of the Marion County income tax have residents steaming. Yet as IBJ columnist Ron Gifford noted in his column last week, you can argue about which taxes legislators should increase-whether on property, income or sales-but the fact is that governments need more revenue, and, therefore, a variety of taxes are rising. Paying tax is not the most pleasant of human endeavors. However, in a capitalistic society, taxes are necessary and, when applied…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: Answers to tax questions are sometimes surprising

Taxes are always a consideration in investment decisionmaking. Investors need to be vigilant to changes in the tax code, because from year to year there may be changes that can affect the choices they make. And while there are some broad tax generalities, an individual’s tax profile is specific to that person. Navigating the tax code can be daunting. Yet with some tedious reading and a strong dose of common sense, investors can arrive at rational decisions. I have found…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: Much-touted hedge funds sometimes go badly awry

Some elements of the financial media might have you believe hedge fund managers are, to quote Tom Wolfe, “masters of the universe.” However, some recent blunders, particularly in the hedge-fund departments of the large investment banks, say otherwise. No firm encapsulates a golden-egg-laying machine on Wall Street more than Goldman Sachs. Yet for all of Goldman’s financial muscle, its own flagship hedge fund has recorded awful results over the past year and a half. Dubbed the Global Alpha Fund, Goldman’s…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: Shift to restricted stock not always good news

In recent decades, companies accelerated their use of stockbased awards as a compensation method. The key argument for these compensation plans was that they align managerial interests with stockholder interests. The modern stockoption plan originated at the young technology firms-which, short on cash, instead issued equity to compensate and motivate employees. As the riches began to flow, option programs escalated at larger firms that weren’t cash poor but proclaimed the alignment-of-interests theme. The option largesse was encouraged by accounting fantasy,…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: High risk doesn’t always translate into high returns

Previously, we were discussing Jeremy Grantham’s brash newsletter about global bubbles (found at www.gmo.com). His frank talk is a bit stunning to me. Grantham’s expertise is in analyzing the relative values of various asset classes and arriving at estimates of their future returns. And he has reached an unprecedented conclusion: Over the next years, higher-risk investments will earn poorer returns for investors than lower-risk investments. Historically, investors have been compensated with higher returns for taking on more risk. In the…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: With bull market raging, investor advises caution

“It’s Everywhere, In Everything: The First Truly Global Bubble.” The title of this recent newsletter sounds a lot like one of those “doom and gloom” books out to make a quick buck playing on investor emotions. The only thing is, those kinds of books only show up in bear markets, because that’s when they sell-when investors are already depressed. Thus, their message is useless, for the damage has already been done to investors’ portfolios-and, ironically, their appearance on bookshelves usually…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: SEC faces difficult task fighting insider trading

In the second episode of the excellent trilogy “Back to the Future,” Biff Tannen obtains a magazine that gives the final scores of yet-to-beplayed sporting events. He uses that information to “gamble” his way to wealth. Similarly, haven’t we all wistfully wondered what we would do if we only had a copy of tomorrow’s Wall Street Journal today? Well, occasionally some people do obtain that kind of advantage in the securities markets. One former Securities and Exchange Commission attorney noted…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: Things you don’t learn sitting in a lecture hall

Students at Indiana University’s Kelley School of Business have been busy lately. A group of students recently spent a day in Omaha with Warren Buffett. Then on April 4, the school hosted a cable program called “Mad Money.” Between the two, they heard what must be the most opposite investment philosophies on the planet. In Omaha, the students would have learned about “looking through” the price of a stock to the underlying business, to focus on the long term and…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: What investors can learn from venture capital skid

I was watching a business program the other day, and one of the guests was an independent-thinking fellow who summarily dismissed the old saw, “They don’t ring a bell at the top.” He went on to say, “They do ring bells; it is just that nobody listens.” Remember the glory days for venture capital? It doesn’t seem that long ago when an idea was worth a billion-dollar initial public offering. Back in the 1990s, the wizards of Silicon Valley were…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: Awareness of risk is back, and that’s not a bad thing

“I’m baaack!” yelled Mr. Risk at the top of his lungs on Feb. 27. “Welcome back, Mr. Risk. You have been gone a while,” responded a nervous Mr. Market. “Even though deep down we knew you were hanging around the neighborhood, we had forgotten all about you.” And thus ended the calm that had presided over the stock market, which had risen in regimented fashion the past seven months. With the 416-point drop in the Dow Jones industrial average that…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: Exchange-traded funds are a bonanza for Wall Street

“It slices! It dices!” That was the claim of late-night pitchman Ron Popeil of his invention, the Veg-OMatic. He could very well have said the same about Wall Street and its penchant to carve up the stock market and repackage it for sale to investors. The most visible evidence of this pursuit is the development of exchange-traded funds, or ETFs. An ETF is essentially an index mutual fund-an unmanaged pool of investor money that is invested in a select group…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: Investors overlooking risk, and that spells trouble

I closed my last column by suggesting that the markets seem to be paying little attention to risk across a broad range of asset classes. One measure of risk is stock market volatility, or the magnitude of ups and downs in stock prices. The Wall Street Journal recently reported the following statistics compiled by the market analysts at Ned Davis Research: It has been almost 1,000 trading days since the Dow Jones industrial average has seen a 10-percent decline from…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: How some measures of risk breed investor complacency

Risk. Webster’s defines it as “the chance of loss; also the degree of probability of such loss.” Specific to the act of investing, one might add: any investment activity that may lead to a permanent loss of capital. Investors can’t eliminate risk. However, by following Webster’s definition and attempting to determine the “degree of probability” of a potential loss, the investor can then decide the wisdom of proceeding with an investment. In cases where he judges the probability of loss…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: A resolution for new year: Give portfolio a checkup

The gyms are full, Slim-Fast is flying off the shelves, and the closets are scheduled for cleaning. Human beings regularly view the turn of the calendar as an opportunity to take stock of their affairs, and to vow to change things that need adjustment. So, add to your agenda a review of your investment program. This annual checkup will include an assessment of the performance of your portfolio for 2006. But it is wise to reserve your harshest judgments for…

Read More

Alternative investing boom has spawned a fee frenzy BULLS & BEARS:

Readers of this column know I’ve been critical of the institutional-feeding frenzy that is pouring fiduciary money into alternative investments. My premise isn’t that institutions all will end up losing a lot of money by investing in private equity, hedge funds and venture capital. But I am suggesting that aggregate returns from alternative investing merely will be mediocre. Indeed, 2006 will mark the third year in a row that the average hedge fund has failed to keep pace with the…

Read More

BULLS & BEARS: Alternative investments don’t live up to the hype

Alternative investing is all the rage, as I noted in my last column. As an individual investor, you might feel that the dealings of hedge funds, private equity and venture capital don’t apply to your portfolio. Yet, when there is such a sea change taking place in the investment landscape, it is important to try to understand why it is happening and whether it makes sense, because the ripple effects can reach you. Hedge fund is an all-encompassing term that…

Read More