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One important item missing in the article is that Toyota will be manufacturing two EVs at their Princeton plant, i.e. a brand new Toyota EV and a Lexus EV. That investment $803 million, with an additional 1,400 direct employees, is slated to start production later this year. That also doesn’t count the companies such as Toyota and Honda producing Hydrogen vehicles for the US market.
The average car in the USA is over 12 years old – so it’s going to be at least a decade before EVs are dominant, even if new gas cars were banned tomorrow.
A solid choice would be for these manufacturers to look in to Plug-In Hybrid technology, or PHEV. It won’t require as rapid of a change for them or for their customer, since these cars have gas engines – but they also have about 20% of the battery of a full EV, and get electric motors for even more power and efficiency. Look at the RAV4 Prime – it’s Toyota’s most powerful vehicle, and wildly efficient at over 100 MPGe for commuters when you plug in to a regular outlet overnight.
The reason that PHEVs aren’t as prominent is because modifying assembly lines is expensive. It’s cheaper to just go all-in on one propulsion system, rather than try to combine the two or use PHEVs as another “bridge” to full electrification.
Does anyone know the electrical output per pound numbers for batteries vs hydrogen fuel cells? My worry is that we are quickly moving ahead with batteries. When Fuel Cells might be the much better long term solution.