However, seasoned entrepreneurs and investors know economic dislocation creates the greatest economic opportunities. For example, venture-capital dollars that were invested in the 1992 period just after the first Gulf War were among the best-performing funds of the past 20 years. This is not a time to retrench — it is a time of great opportunity.
As a corporate leader, this is a time to test your mettle. Great leaders are not born out of good times — they are born out of severe challenge. Don't wilt! This economy is hammering everyone. It's punishing with equal opportunity.
Now is the time to dig deep and lead. The reaction entrepreneurs have to this era will define their true leadership skills.
For entrepreneurs seeking financing, this environment is particularly tough. Venture investors have abandoned their Frisbee speeches and gone underground. Banks have completely forgotten that lending has something to do with their business, and if you can locate an investor, he wants 150 percent of the ownership and for you to assume all liabilities.
It seems dire. However, all is not lost. The good news is that there's still more than $100 billion in venture money out there, ready for deal making. But to bring home the bacon in this environment requires new tactics and views. Several points are paramount:
• Profits. The business plan you show to venture capitalists must be tighter and better researched than ever. The plan must be impenetrable in its logic, with tangible business barriers to entry and profits-not losses-projected.
• Valuation. Sorry, but if you want to get a deal done, your valuation expectations must come down. The old world of frothy valuations is gone and will not be seen again for several years. Be realistic, and do what it takes to get a deal done. Don't be overly proud: A smaller percentage of a pie is superior to a large interest in a busted company.
• Vigilance. Never have venture investors been more buried. We all have numerous portfolio company challenges and we're paddling as hard as we can to stay above water. A new plan must scream out before it will get attention, and responding to calls is harder than ever. As such, entrepreneurs must be more vigilant than ever in getting heard. Prepare to call, fax, write, e-mail and beg several times before you get a response. Don't be daunted or insulted; this is simply
On the investor side, all investors know this is a time when the greatest equity value will be created. Economic dislocation and attractive valuations always equal big opportunity. But sometimes it's hard to get back on the horse after you've been knocked off so many times. Also, it's tough to invest when you don't know where the bottom is. But I'm sure the bottom is near, and it's time to make some bets.
Fortune really does favor the bold and, in these challenging times, the bold entrepreneur must be more thoughtful, analytical, persistent, careful and methodical than ever to get a deal done.
But deals will get done, because there's big cash out there and this country is still without peer in its systems of backing entrepreneurs to build companies.
It's not a time to wilt. It's time to fight on!
Ford is president of All State Manufacturing Co., a Terre Haute maker of food-service equipment, and a principal with Edison Strategies, a Missouri consulting firm.