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UPDATE: Polls disagree on whether Cruz, Trump ahead in Indiana

May 1, 2016
As presidential candidates make their final push before Tuesday’s primary, one poll shows Sen. Ted Cruz has a sizable lead in Indiana over GOP rival Donald Trump. But another shows Donald Trump way out in front.

A poll of 400 likely voters—which was conducted over the last couple of weeks by the Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics at Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne—showed Cruz at nearly 45 percent, compared with Donald Trump’s 29 percent.
 
Ohio Gov. John Kasich was at 13 percent, while 13 percent were undecided.

Meanwhile, an NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll released Sunday shows Trump leading Cruz by 15 percentage points, 49 percent to 34 percent. The poll also shows Kasich at 13 percent.

The Marist poll also shows Trump has the advantage among many key demographic groups. He especially outdistances his opponents among likely Republican primary voters who self-identify as moderate or conservative, those who are over 45, without a college education, or who are men. Cruz does best among likely Republican primary voters who describe themselves as very conservative.

Sunday's schedule

Cruz has multiple events planned in Indiana on Sunday. He, along with running mate Carly Fiorina, will hold a rally at Faith Church in Lafayette at 2:30 p.m. He will then stop for dinner at 5:30 p.m. at Cruisers Restaurant in Winamac. Meanwhile, Fiorina will eat dinner in Greencastle at Almost Home Restaurant at 5:30 p.m.

Then Cruz will finish Sunday in La Porte’s Civic Auditorium. He’ll be participating in a rally at 7:30 p.m. with Glenn Beck. Anyone who plans to attend the La Porte rally is encouraged to RSVP at EventBrite.com.

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will hold a get-out-the-vote rally at 12:30 p.m. at Indianapolis’ Douglass Park Gymnasium. Doors open at 10:30 a.m. The event is open to the public, but RSVPs at her campaign website are recommended.

Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont will be in South Bend for a rally Sunday. Doors open at 4 p.m. at the Century Center.  The event is open to the public, but RSVPs on Sanders’ campaign website are “strongly encouraged.” Admission is first come, first served.

Donald Trump will start the day in Terre Haute with a 1 p.m. rally at the Indiana Theater. Doors open at 11 a.m. He will then head to Fort Wayne for a 4 p.m. rally at the Allen County War Memorial Coliseum. Doors open at 12:30 p.m. Tickets for both events can be found on his campaign website.
 
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